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Tropical Storm KAREN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
0300 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 157N 509W 34 62 16(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) 1(80)
12 157N 509W 50 16 7(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
12 157N 509W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
24 169N 525W 34 5 40(45) 9(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57) 1(58)
24 169N 525W 50 X 14(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) 1(19) 1(20)
24 169N 525W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 180N 538W 34 1 11(12) 20(32) 7(39) 3(42) 1(43) 1(44)
36 180N 538W 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) 1(13)
36 180N 538W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 192N 548W 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 13(25) 6(31) 3(34) 1(35)
48 192N 548W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
48 192N 548W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
72 210N 560W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 12(21) 7(28) 2(30)
72 210N 560W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
72 210N 560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
96 225N 575W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) 4(22)
96 225N 575W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
96 225N 575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
120 235N 595W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 4(15)
120 235N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
120 235N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 45 40 40 40 45 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
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