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Tropical Storm KAREN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 139N 467W 34 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
12 139N 467W 50 74 7(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
12 139N 467W 64 9 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
24 152N 487W 34 16 52(68) 8(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76)
24 152N 487W 50 1 45(46) 7(53) 1(54) X(54) 1(55) X(55)
24 152N 487W 64 X 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
36 165N 505W 34 1 17(18) 32(50) 5(55) 2(57) X(57) 1(58)
36 165N 505W 50 X 4( 4) 22(26) 5(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
36 165N 505W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
48 175N 519W 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) 14(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46)
48 175N 519W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 3(19) X(19) 1(20)
48 175N 519W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
72 194N 547W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 15(22) 6(28) 3(31)
72 194N 547W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 1(11)
72 194N 547W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
96 210N 570W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 3(21)
96 210N 570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
96 210N 570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 225N 585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15)
120 225N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 225N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 60 55 50 45 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
NNNN
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