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Tropical Storm KAREN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 126N 445W 34 83 8(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 126N 445W 50 36 23(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
12 126N 445W 64 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
24 140N 468W 34 2 67(69) 11(80) 1(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82)
24 140N 468W 50 X 36(36) 15(51) 1(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53)
24 140N 468W 64 X 14(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
36 155N 485W 34 1 13(14) 45(59) 9(68) 4(72) X(72) 1(73)
36 155N 485W 50 X 2( 2) 29(31) 10(41) 2(43) X(43) 1(44)
36 155N 485W 64 X X( X) 13(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
48 168N 500W 34 X 3( 3) 21(24) 23(47) 11(58) 2(60) 1(61)
48 168N 500W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) 6(29) 1(30) X(30)
48 168N 500W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
72 190N 520W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 23(37) 7(44) 3(47)
72 190N 520W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 4(19) 2(21)
72 190N 520W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7)
96 210N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 12(27) 5(32)
96 210N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12)
96 210N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
120 230N 555W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 6(22)
120 230N 555W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7)
120 230N 555W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 75 70 65 60 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
NNNN
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