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Tropical Storm KAREN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1500 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 112N 407W 34 42 15(57) X(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
12 112N 407W 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 112N 407W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 118N 435W 34 1 40(41) 13(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
24 118N 435W 50 X 5( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
24 118N 435W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 125N 461W 34 X 4( 4) 40(44) 10(54) 2(56) X(56) 1(57)
36 125N 461W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20)
36 125N 461W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 139N 483W 34 X X( X) 12(12) 27(39) 11(50) 1(51) 1(52)
48 139N 483W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 6(19) X(19) 1(20)
48 139N 483W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
72 172N 512W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 25(30) 8(38) 2(40)
72 172N 512W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) 1(15)
72 172N 512W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
96 200N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 14(25) 4(29)
96 200N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11)
96 200N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 225N 540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20)
120 225N 540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
120 225N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 60 60 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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