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Tropical Storm KAREN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 108N 400W 34 41 15(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
12 108N 400W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
12 108N 400W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 113N 430W 34 1 39(40) 14(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56)
24 113N 430W 50 X 5( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 113N 430W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 118N 457W 34 X 4( 4) 40(44) 10(54) 2(56) 1(57) X(57)
36 118N 457W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 8(18) 1(19) X(19) 1(20)
36 118N 457W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 129N 479W 34 X X( X) 13(13) 26(39) 10(49) 2(51) X(51)
48 129N 479W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19)
48 129N 479W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 160N 510W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 9(38) 2(40)
72 160N 510W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14)
72 160N 510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 190N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 13(23) 5(28)
96 190N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11)
96 190N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
120 220N 545W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18)
120 220N 545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 220N 545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 60 60 55 55
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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