Tropical Storm KAREN

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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  51.9W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  51.9W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  51.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.0N  53.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.2N  54.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N  56.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.7N  57.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 24.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 25.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  51.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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