Tropical Storm KAREN

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TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  42.1W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  42.1W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  41.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 11.9N  43.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.0N  46.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.3N  48.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.6N  49.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  42.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
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FORECASTER RHOME
 
 
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