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Tropical Storm INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 172N 540W 34 21 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28)
12 172N 540W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
12 172N 540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 183N 556W 34 3 16(19) 5(24) 2(26) 1(27) X(27) 1(28)
24 183N 556W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
24 183N 556W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 191N 569W 34 X 8( 8) 10(18) 4(22) 3(25) 1(26) 1(27)
36 191N 569W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
36 191N 569W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 199N 582W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 8(15) 5(20) 2(22) X(22)
48 199N 582W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
48 199N 582W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 215N 595W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 5(19) 1(20)
72 215N 595W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
72 215N 595W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 235N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 5(13) 2(15)
96 235N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
96 235N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 255N 615W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10)
120 255N 615W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 255N 615W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
NNNN
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