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Tropical Storm INGRID
ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM INGRID WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
0900 UTC FRI SEP 14 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM INGRID WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 155N 500W 34 63 7(70) 1(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) 1(72)
12 155N 500W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 155N 500W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 161N 511W 34 21 27(48) 6(54) 1(55) 1(56) 1(57) X(57)
24 161N 511W 50 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10)
24 161N 511W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 167N 523W 34 2 15(17) 19(36) 3(39) 3(42) X(42) 1(43)
36 167N 523W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 167N 523W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 173N 537W 34 1 2( 3) 11(14) 9(23) 5(28) 1(29) 1(30)
48 173N 537W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
48 173N 537W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 185N 565W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 4(18) 2(20)
72 185N 565W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
72 185N 565W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 585W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) 2(16)
96 200N 585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 200N 585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 215N 605W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9)
120 215N 605W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 215N 605W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 40 40 35 35 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
NNNN
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