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Tropical Storm GABRIELLE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
0300 UTC SUN SEP 09 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) X(12) X(12)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 6(12) X(12) X(12)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 22(22) 13(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
NORFOLK VA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 14 38(52) 5(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) X(58)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 8( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 45 9(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 4 2( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 343N 759W 34 54 9(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
12 343N 759W 50 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
12 343N 759W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 358N 756W 34 4 44(48) 9(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
24 358N 756W 50 X 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
24 358N 756W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
36 371N 740W 34 X 6( 6) 34(40) 8(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49)
36 371N 740W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
36 371N 740W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 390N 710W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 9(36) X(36) X(36)
48 390N 710W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 390N 710W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 430N 625W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) X(19) X(19)
72 430N 625W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
72 430N 625W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 45 45 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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