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Subtropical Storm GABRIELLE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10(18)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 4(25)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) 1(15)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 3(17) 1(18)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 1(14) 1(15)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 7(11) 1(12) X(12)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 8(19) 1(20) X(20)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)
DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 6(19) X(19) X(19)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 12(25) 7(32) 1(33) X(33)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 5( 5) 8(13) 7(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22)
NORFOLK VA 34 1 10(11) 19(30) 10(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
RALEIGH NC 34 1 7( 8) 8(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 9 32(41) 22(63) 5(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 4( 4) 16(20) 6(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 12 39(51) 15(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X 7( 7) 9(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WILMINGTON NC 34 7 23(30) 10(40) 3(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 3 9(12) 8(20) 2(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
CHARLESTON SC 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 324N 753W 34 88 3(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
12 324N 753W 50 9 9(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
12 324N 753W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 338N 760W 34 44 33(77) 6(83) 1(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85)
24 338N 760W 50 1 18(19) 8(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
24 338N 760W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 352N 756W 34 10 34(44) 20(64) 4(68) 2(70) 1(71) X(71)
36 352N 756W 50 X 5( 5) 16(21) 5(26) 2(28) X(28) X(28)
36 352N 756W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
48 364N 740W 34 3 13(16) 21(37) 17(54) 7(61) 1(62) X(62)
48 364N 740W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25)
48 364N 740W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 390N 680W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 29(32) 8(40) X(40)
72 390N 680W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14)
72 390N 680W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 440N 580W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 6(26)
96 440N 580W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8)
96 440N 580W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
120 460N 460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
120 460N 460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
120 460N 460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 50 55 55 55 50 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
NNNN
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