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Hurricane FLORENCE


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006               
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.                                        
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  24(39)   2(41)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   1(13)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)  11(49)   X(49)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   6(18)   X(18)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  33(35)   5(40)   1(41)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   3(15)   X(15)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   4(28)   X(28)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   3(20)   X(20)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  17(24)   1(25)   X(25)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)   2(26)   X(26)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)  27(51)   1(52)   X(52)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   1(21)   X(21)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   8(17)   1(18)   X(18)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BERMUDA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        50 51   5(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
BERMUDA        64 13   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 328N  659W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 328N  659W 50 87   6(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 12 328N  659W 64 66  13(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 
 24 350N  648W 34 75  23(98)   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 24 350N  648W 50  4  66(70)   9(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 24 350N  648W 64  1  46(47)  11(58)   X(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 
 36 375N  633W 34  2  47(49)  40(89)   5(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 36 375N  633W 50  X   6( 6)  46(52)   9(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 36 375N  633W 64  X   2( 2)  28(30)   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
 
 48 404N  609W 34  X   1( 1)  30(31)  41(72)   9(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 48 404N  609W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)   8(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 48 404N  609W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
 
 72 460N  535W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  43(44)   8(52)   X(52)
 72 460N  535W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   X(19)
 72 460N  535W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 480N  430W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)   6(32)
 96 480N  430W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)
 96 480N  430W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
120 490N  280W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
120 490N  280W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
120 490N  280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     90      85      75      60      50      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:37 GMT