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Hurricane FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 31(41) 4(45)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) 19(48) 1(49)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) 1(20)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 9(40) 1(41)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) X(16)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 7(28) 1(29)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 5(21) 1(22)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 2(22) 1(23)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 4(25) X(25)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 36(43) 3(46) X(46)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14) 1(15)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BERMUDA 34 96 2(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BERMUDA 50 18 48(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
BERMUDA 64 3 35(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 313N 661W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 313N 661W 50 94 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 313N 661W 64 68 11(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 336N 651W 34 77 21(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
24 336N 651W 50 3 72(75) 8(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 336N 651W 64 X 49(49) 11(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
36 360N 636W 34 1 52(53) 37(90) 4(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
36 360N 636W 50 X 6( 6) 51(57) 9(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
36 360N 636W 64 X 2( 2) 29(31) 8(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40)
48 386N 616W 34 X 1( 1) 37(38) 37(75) 9(84) X(84) X(84)
48 386N 616W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 31(38) 10(48) X(48) X(48)
48 386N 616W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24)
72 450N 550W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 45(46) 11(57) X(57)
72 450N 550W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 5(22) X(22)
72 450N 550W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)
96 480N 450W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) 7(38)
96 480N 450W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15)
96 480N 450W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 480N 340W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17)
120 480N 340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
120 480N 340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 90 95 90 80 65 60 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
NNNN
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