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Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0300 UTC SUN SEP 10 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 14(33)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 9(40)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 6(37)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 4(26)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 3(21)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 2(24)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 2(25)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 20(40) 2(42)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 1(17)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 8(17) 1(18)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 10 33(43) 35(78) 12(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92)
BERMUDA 50 X 3( 3) 35(38) 19(57) 2(59) X(59) X(59)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) 17(17) 14(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 279N 656W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 279N 656W 50 82 7(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
12 279N 656W 64 21 14(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
24 298N 659W 34 76 20(96) 2(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
24 298N 659W 50 8 58(66) 10(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77)
24 298N 659W 64 X 33(33) 10(43) 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45)
36 318N 654W 34 21 41(62) 27(89) 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
36 318N 654W 50 X 12(12) 41(53) 10(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65)
36 318N 654W 64 X 2( 2) 26(28) 9(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38)
48 344N 642W 34 X 6( 6) 34(40) 35(75) 10(85) X(85) X(85)
48 344N 642W 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 32(41) 10(51) X(51) X(51)
48 344N 642W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 6(27) 1(28) X(28)
72 400N 600W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 50(53) 11(64) X(64)
72 400N 600W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 6(29) X(29)
72 400N 600W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14)
96 460N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 31(34) 8(42)
96 460N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18)
96 460N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
120 490N 420W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19)
120 490N 420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
120 490N 420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 65 75 85 85 75 65 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
NNNN
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