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Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 17(19)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 25(34)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 40(50) 18(68) 2(70)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 15(37) 1(38)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 9(20) X(20)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 231N 595W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 231N 595W 50 28 14(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
12 231N 595W 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 244N 617W 34 57 32(89) 4(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
24 244N 617W 50 1 37(38) 12(50) 2(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 244N 617W 64 X 7( 7) 7(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 258N 636W 34 4 45(49) 31(80) 8(88) 2(90) 1(91) X(91)
36 258N 636W 50 X 6( 6) 36(42) 8(50) 4(54) 1(55) X(55)
36 258N 636W 64 X 1( 1) 12(13) 9(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25)
48 274N 646W 34 X 14(14) 43(57) 20(77) 8(85) 2(87) X(87)
48 274N 646W 50 X X( X) 14(14) 22(36) 12(48) 1(49) X(49)
48 274N 646W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24)
72 310N 650W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 38(63) 11(74) 1(75)
72 310N 650W 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) 8(40) 1(41)
72 310N 650W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22) X(22)
96 370N 620W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 35(43) 13(56)
96 370N 620W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27)
96 370N 620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13)
120 450N 530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 27(29)
120 450N 530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
120 450N 530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 55 65 75 90 85 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
NNNN
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