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Tropical Storm FLORENCE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062006
0900 UTC WED SEP 06 2006
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 7(17)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 2( 5)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 192N 516W 34 86 4(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
12 192N 516W 50 10 9(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
12 192N 516W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 203N 534W 34 17 59(76) 7(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
24 203N 534W 50 X 25(25) 9(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
24 203N 534W 64 X 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10)
36 214N 555W 34 1 23(24) 38(62) 9(71) 3(74) X(74) X(74)
36 214N 555W 50 X 3( 3) 23(26) 8(34) 1(35) 1(36) X(36)
36 214N 555W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
48 224N 578W 34 X 2( 2) 24(26) 26(52) 13(65) 1(66) X(66)
48 224N 578W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 8(30) 1(31) X(31)
48 224N 578W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)
72 244N 626W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 36(42) 11(53) 3(56)
72 244N 626W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 6(24) 2(26)
72 244N 626W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) 1(14)
96 270N 665W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 25(37) 9(46)
96 270N 665W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 5(20)
96 270N 665W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10)
120 295N 680W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 13(35)
120 295N 680W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16)
120 295N 680W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 55 60 65 75 85 95
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN
NNNN
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