Hurricane FLORENCE

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HURRICANE FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
2100 UTC MON SEP 11 2006
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS REPLACED
THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  64.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......250NE 175SE  90SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..475NE 275SE 350SW 450NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N  64.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.2N  63.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 38.7N  61.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...275NE 175SE 100SW 275NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 42.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE 150SW 275NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 45.2N  54.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...300NE 350SE 200SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 49.0N  42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
34 KT...300NE 480SE 420SW 300NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 51.0N  25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N  64.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH
 
 
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