Tropical Storm FLORENCE

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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
0900 UTC FRI SEP 08 2006
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE WILL LIKELY ISSUE WATCHES OR WARNINGS
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  57.6W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......350NE 250SE   0SW 250NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 250SE 100SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  57.6W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 23.1N  59.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...325NE 250SE  50SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 24.4N  61.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...300NE 250SE  60SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.8N  63.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE  75SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.4N  64.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 250SE  75SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.0N  65.0W...NEAR BERMUDA
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...275NE 275SE 100SW 250NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 37.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 45.0N  53.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  57.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN
 
 
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