Tropical Storm FLORENCE

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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062006
1500 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  47.3W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..110NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  47.3W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  46.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.9N  48.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 18.6N  50.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 20.1N  55.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.6N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  50SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 23.3N  63.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 25.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  47.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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