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Tropical Depression TWO
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
1500 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11)
BAR HARBOR ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 5(13)
PORTLAND ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 4(13)
CONCORD NH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 5(18)
BOSTON MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 6(24)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 5(24)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 4(22)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 10(17) 3(20)
HARTFORD CT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 12(22) 5(27)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 10(13) 9(22) 3(25)
NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 9(21) 2(23)
NEWARK NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 2(25)
TRENTON NJ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 12(21) 10(31) 2(33)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
ATLANTIC CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 10(17) 6(23) 1(24)
BALTIMORE MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 12(22) 8(30) 1(31)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 11(20) 6(26) 1(27)
ANNAPOLIS MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 9(17) 6(23) 1(24)
WASHINGTON DC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 15(32) 9(41) 1(42)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 4(14) 1(15)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 10(26) 5(31) X(31)
RICHMOND VA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
NORFOLK VA 34 X 4( 4) 11(15) 15(30) 10(40) 5(45) 1(46)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 2(13) X(13)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 2(14) 1(15)
RALEIGH NC 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 7(20) 4(24) X(24)
RALEIGH NC 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 15(16) 24(40) 12(52) 6(58) 3(61) X(61)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) 1(24)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 1 8( 9) 18(27) 12(39) 7(46) 3(49) X(49)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 4(14) 2(16) X(16)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 3( 3) 9(12) 11(23) 7(30) 3(33) X(33)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 6(13) 6(19) 2(21) X(21)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 333N 737W 34 42 16(58) 7(65) 3(68) 2(70) 1(71) X(71)
12 333N 737W 50 3 7(10) 3(13) 2(15) 1(16) 1(17) 1(18)
12 333N 737W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
24 339N 741W 34 28 27(55) 9(64) 4(68) 4(72) X(72) 1(73)
24 339N 741W 50 2 8(10) 6(16) 4(20) 2(22) 2(24) X(24)
24 339N 741W 64 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
36 347N 748W 34 6 28(34) 19(53) 8(61) 5(66) 2(68) X(68)
36 347N 748W 50 X 5( 5) 9(14) 6(20) 4(24) 2(26) X(26)
36 347N 748W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
48 355N 750W 34 2 16(18) 23(41) 12(53) 7(60) 2(62) 1(63)
48 355N 750W 50 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 9(18) 5(23) 2(25) X(25)
48 355N 750W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
72 369N 747W 34 1 4( 5) 15(20) 15(35) 12(47) 5(52) 1(53)
72 369N 747W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 9(19) 3(22) 1(23)
72 369N 747W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
96 385N 710W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 14(20) 14(34) 4(38)
96 385N 710W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12)
96 385N 710W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
120 420N 630W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14)
120 420N 630W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 420N 630W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 55 55 50 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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