Tropical Depression TWO

ZCZC MIATCMAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  73.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  73.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  73.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.7N  73.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.4N  74.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 35.2N  74.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.0N  74.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.4N  73.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 39.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 42.5N  60.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N  73.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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