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Tropical Storm ERIN
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052007
0300 UTC THU AUG 16 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HOUSTON TX 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
AUSTIN TX 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 2 8(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
FREEPORT TX 34 13 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 19 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
PORT O CONNOR 34 32 4(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 33 9(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 56 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 274N 972W 34 38 6(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
12 274N 972W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 274N 972W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 284N 990W 34 4 10(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
24 284N 990W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 284N 990W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 293N 1006W 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 293N 1006W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 293N 1006W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 30 20 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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