Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
800 AM EDT FRI SEP 01 2006
 
...ERNESTO STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS...
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SURF CITY
SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY
NORTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA DUE TO A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT NORTH OF ERNESTO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS JUST EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ROCKY MOUNT NORTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTHWEST OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA.
 
ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A
CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE
CENTER FARTHER INLAND OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING AND
OVER EASTERN VIRGINIA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST FROM THE CENTER.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ABOUT
990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS OF UP TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA THROUGH THIS MORNING.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...35.8 N...77.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$

FORECASTER AVILA

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