Tropical Storm ERNESTO

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
800 AM EDT THU AUG 31 2006
 
...ERNESTO CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CAROLINAS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 95
MILES...155 KM...EAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 170 MILES...
275 KM...SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED
ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION WILL TAKE THE
CENTER OF ERNESTO FARTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TODAY...AND COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE NORTH AND SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTS LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH...90 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN AREAS
OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE GEORGIA COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM NORTHEAST SOUTH
CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...AND THE SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES...THROUGH SATURDAY.  THESE AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.  ADDITIONAL ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA TODAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...30.4 N...79.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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