Tropical Depression ERNESTO

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052006
1500 UTC WED AUG 30 2006
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF
SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO BONITA
BEACH ON THE WEST COAST INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE FLORIDA
KEYS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER NORTHWARD
TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD
AND IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA NORTHWARD AND
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COAST TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  80.9W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  80.9W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  81.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 28.5N  80.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 31.0N  80.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 33.5N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 36.0N  79.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 40.0N  78.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 44.8N  79.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.4N  80.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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