Issued by NWS Indianapolis, IN
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000 FXUS63 KIND 261101 AFDIND AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 701 AM EDT SUN OCT 26 2008 .AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 12Z TAFS. MAIN CHALLENGE TO AVIATION INTERESTS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WINDS SHUD BE GUSTING TO AT LEAST 20 KTS AT ALL SITES WITHIN A COUPLE HOURS OF SUNRISE. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20KTS WITH GUSTS TO OVER 30 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHEST WINDS EXPECTED AT KLAF AND LOWEST AT KBMG. LLWS HAS MOVED AWAY FROM KLAF BUT STILL MAY STICK AROUND KIND FOR AN HOUR OR SO AFTER ISSUANCE. EXPECT TO SEE SOME MID CLOUDS WITH THE FRONT BUT NOTHING OPERATIONALLY RELEVANT. FROPA EXPECTED AROUND 15Z AT KLAF AND KHUF AND 16Z AT KIND AND KBMG. AT KLAF COULD SEE A SPRINKLE WITH FROPA BUT AGAIN NO RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED. TIME HTS SHOW ANOTHER LOWER CLOUD DECK NR THE END OF THE PD. && .PREV DISCUSSION... FOCUS WL BE ON THE SHORT TERM ESPECIALLY REGARDING WIND POTENTIAL AND TEMPS. CLEAR SKIES SEEN ON IR IMAGERY ACRS CNTRL INDIANA EARLY THIS AM. MID LVL DECK ACRS SRN MN AND IA WAS MARKING THE LEADING EDGE OF THE 130KT UPR LVL JET THAT WAS PLUNGING SE IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW. FINALLY...THE STG CD FNT EXTENDED FM CNTRL MN TO THE SD/NE BORDER AT 04Z. MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON BRINGING THE STG CD FNT ACRS CNTRL INDIANA IN THE 12Z-18Z TIME FRAME TODAY. 45KT BOUNDARY LYR WINDS ARE SHOWING UP ON THE LAF MODEL SOUNDINGS WITH PLNTY OF MIXING EXPECTED. FURTHER S...MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE NOT QUITE AS IMPRESSIVE REGARDING THE BOUNDARY LYR WINDS...SO WL KEEP WIND ADVISORY WHERE IT IS ROUGHLY JUST N OF A HUF TO IND LINE. GUSTY WINDS WL CONTINUE AFTER DARK...BUT WL DROP OFF BLW ADVISORY CRITERIA WITH THE LOSS OF THE SS. MODELS ARE SIMILAR IN BRINGING POST FRONTAL LOW LVL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED CURRENT SC ACRS SCNTRL CANADA AND NRN MN SE ACRS THE FA TOWARD 12Z MONDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. KEPT THE REST OF THE FCST DRY. UPR RIDGE WL APPROACH LATE IN THE WEEK WHICH SHOULD PROVIDE FOR A DECENT WARMUP. STG POST FRONTAL CAA SHOULD STUNT TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON...SO AGREE WITH RELATIVE LOW MOS TEMPS TODAY. WL LEAN TOWARD LOW END OF GUIDANCE TNGT WITH STG CAA CONTINUING AND DESPITE WINDS STAYING UP. FINALLY...WITH 850 MB TEMPS MINUS 7 CELSIUS ON MONDAY AND LOTS OF SC...WL GO AOB MOS. && .IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WIND ADVISORY NORTHERN THIRD TODAY. && $$ AVIATION...CP PUBLIC...MK
