Principal
Investigators:
David B. Enfield
Chunzai Wang
Other Scientists:
Sang-ki Lee (CIMAS/UM)
Alberto Mestas-Nunez (CIMAS/UM)
Chidong Zhang (MPO/UM)
Bruce Albrecht (MPO/UM)
INTRODUCTION
The tropical Western Hemisphere warm pool
(WHWP) of water warmer than 28.5°C extends over parts of the eastern North
Pacific, the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, and the tropical North Atlantic
(See slides presented in the AGU 2002 Fall Meeting, Ref. 1). The WHWP, like
the warm pool in the western Pacific, is a critical component of the boreal
summer climate of the Caribbean and surrounding land areas. The WHWP is correlated
with summer rainfall in the United States and the Caribbean, and is related
to the occurrence of Atlantic hurricanes. Atmospheric GCM model studies show
that warm pools, together with continental orography, are responsible for the
stereotypical ridge-trough configurations over the extratropical continents,
the subtropical jet acceleration downstream of the continents, and possibly
their variations. The WHWP provides a key source of moisture that is transported
into the North American interior, and anomalies in its size and intensity may
alter either the moisture source, the frequency and configuration of synoptic
patterns that import the moisture, such as the Caribbean Low-Level Jet (CLLJ),
Great Plains Low-Level Jet (GPLLJ), or intraseasonal northward moisture surges,
or some combination. Interannual anomalies in the size of the WHWP are large
in relation to climatological means, with the largest warm pools being about
twice the size of the smallest. The WHWP SST anomalies are highly correlated
with the SST anomalies in the tropical North Atlantic.
Despite importance of the WHWP, little is known about how the WHWP develops
annually or how its significant interannual anomalies occur. This project aims
to better understand physical processes controlling the seasonal and interannual
variations of the WHWP, and to help improve prediction of seasonal-to-interannual
climate variability mediated by the warm pool.
PROJECT
GOALS
The overarching goal of the research is
to understand which ocean and/or atmospheric processes are of primary importance
for the annual cycle and interannual anomalies of the WHWP. In the process,
we may find that what plays an overriding role in the annual cycle may not be
the critical factor in forming persistent anomalies during most of a single
warm pool season. In particular, we wish to understand what happens in the spring-summer
growth season that frequently (but not always) causes a larger and warmer WHWP
in the summer following El Niño events, i.e., how the normal growth process
is altered and why the anomaly persists. The specific objectives are:
1. Understand the physical processes that
control the seasonal variations of the WHWP.
2. Understand the mechanisms for WHWP interannual variability, including local
processes and influences of ENSO and the tropical North Atlantic.
3. Improve our understanding of how Pacific El Niño events affect the
North Atlantic and warm pool through the troposphere.
4. Determine how moisture transports from the warm pool into the US and rainfall
in the southern and central US are related to the warm pool variability.
METHODOLOGY
We approach these tasks by using both analyses
of modern data sets and a state-of-the-art numerical ocean model. The data sets
to be analyzed include the NCAR-NCEP reanalysis field, the NCEP, Da Silva COADS,
, and Southampton surface flux data sets, and the SODA ocean data assimilation
product. The ocean model to be used is a new version of the HYbrid-Coordinate
Ocean Model (HYCOM), a primitive equation OGCM that evolved from the Miami-Isopycnic-Coordinate
Ocean Model (MICOM).
RESULTS AND ACCOMPLISHMENTS
REFERENCES
1. An oral
presentation in the AGU 2002 Fall Meeting
(AGU Meeting).
2. Wang, C., and D. B. Enfield, 2001: The tropical
Western Hemisphere warm pool. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 1635-1638.
3. Wang, C., 2002: Atlantic climate variability and its associated atmospheric
circulation cells. J. Climate, 15, 1516-1536.
4. Wang, C., and D. B. Enfield, 2003: A further study of the tropical Western
Hemisphere warm pool. J. Climate, 16, 1476-1493.
5. Wang, C., 2003: ENSO, Atlantic climate variability, and the Walker and Hadley
circulations. The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past, and Future. H. F. Diaz
and R. S. Bradley, Eds., Cambridge University Press, in press.