December 3, 2005 js-3034 Statement by U.S. Treasury Secretary John W. Snow following the Meeting of the G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Statement by U.S. Treasury Secretary John W. Snow following the Meeting of the G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors
London, United Kingdom 3 December 2005
I was pleased to join the G-7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors here in London this weekend. This meeting was notable as our last with Chairman Greenspan, who has played an integral and immensely valuable role in guiding G-7 meetings for most of the past two decades.
This meeting comes at a good time for the global economy. Growth is strong, even though tempered by high and volatile energy prices. Many countries are making significant progress in implementing economic reforms, and there are no emerging market economies in financial crisis. This is an opportune time to make further progress on trade liberalization, and this was an important topic of our discussions this weekend. In my view, the potential rise of protectionism is the most significant risk to the global economy.
On the subject of growth, I was pleased that the G-7 Finance Ministers met with our counterparts from Brazil, China, India, and Russia. These emerging countries represent an increasing share of the global economy. Their views enriched our discussions. I look forward to continued consultations going forward as they are an increasing and necessary part of any discussion of the global economy.
I was able to report that the U.S. economy continues to be a major driver of global economic growth. The U.S. economy is performing very well, which economic reports in recent weeks have confirmed. Even in the face of severe weather disruptions, the U.S. economic growth estimate for the third quarter was revised up to 4.3% -- the tenth consecutive quarter of above-trend growth. We also received news that job growth in the United States was very strong, with a 215,000 increase in November, and nearly 4.5 million new payroll jobs created since the employment trough of May 2003. This has given us an unemployment rate of 5.0 percent - lower than the average rate of the 1970s, '80s, and '90s. Clearly, good economic policies that reward flexibility and openness are paying off in the U.S. economy.
The U.S. commitment to reducing the budget deficit also remains strong. We recognize its importance for the economic health of the country and for the international financial system. Our efforts reduced the budget deficit by $94 billion this past fiscal year to $318 billion. This equals 2.6 percent of GDP - lower than almost two-thirds of the past 25 annual budget deficits. We recognize, however, that we need to do more. While Federal outlays for hurricane relief will affect the budget in FY2006, the Administration is working to prevent the additional budget costs of storm-related repair from undermining efforts at medium- to long-term deficit reduction.
While the U.S. is working to address its fiscal imbalance, the shared burden of addressing global imbalances requires a broader international effort. Moreover, the effort must maximize sustained global growth.
Unfortunately, the rates of growth of domestic demand in Japan and Europe remain below what is needed, underlining the need for them to put in place reforms to allow productivity growth and labor participation to reach their full potential. Global imbalances also very much involve China and emerging Asian economies. I welcome China's commitment - reaffirmed many times by Chinese officials - that market forces will play an increasing role in the setting of China's exchange rate and past statements of placing greater emphasis on domestic sources of growth. However, even with the change of July 21, China's new exchange rate system has operated with too much rigidity. This rigidity constrains exchange rate flexibility in the region and thus poses risks to China's economy and the global economy. The G7 noted that further flexible implementation of China's currency system would improve the functioning and stability of the global economy and the international monetary system.
High oil prices were another risk to the global economy on the meeting agenda. The rather quick retreat of oil prices since the shock of the U.S. hurricanes is notable, but repairs to various facilities are far from completed and winter is approaching. In the long-term, encouraging investment in energy is essential for assuring adequate supplies in the future.
The single most important item we discussed is achieving an ambitious outcome from the Doha Round by the end of 2006. Trade liberalization is essential to enhancing global growth and poverty reduction, and we cannot allow it to fail. The Hong Kong Ministerial next week will be a critical next step toward that goal. I urged the EU and Japan to make significant moves forward on agriculture market access proposals. Just as important is that developing countries reduce their trade barriers and provide real market access in goods and services to both developed and developing countries. In fact, a developing country can experience higher levels growth and development by opening its financial services sector to foreign direct investment.
In this context I particularly welcomed the sentiments expressed by Brazil and India this weekend in support for progress toward successful completion of the Doha Round. This type of leadership will help to ensure that the benefits of trade are more broadly shared among all countries.
As part of our efforts to encourage a successful Doha Round, we have agreed on a unified approach to help low-income countries reap the development benefits from trade liberalization. This approach is guided by the principles that trade assistance is offered as a core component of multilateral and bilateral development programs; reinforces developing country responsibility to prioritize trade-related projects; and supports the private sector's role in capacity building. Through this approach, we have agreed to increase bilateral and multilateral trade-related assistance toward a goal of up to $4 billion by 2010.
On the IMF, we encouraged Managing Director Rato to substantially elevate the attention given to exchange rate issues in the Fund's surveillance activities. This is the IMF's most fundamental responsibility, yet IMF exchange rate policy advice has often been too sparing or too muted. Exchange rate flexibility is clearly in the interests of large emerging markets increasingly integrated with international capital markets. But from a broader perspective, the international financial system would benefit from a multilateral approach to greater exchange rate flexibility.
We also stressed the need to enhance the Fund's governance and representation structures, which need to evolve rapidly to reflect the current realities of the global economy such as the growing weight of emerging markets - particularly emerging Asia - and monetary union in Europe. The G-7 have a collective interest in an IMF that is strong and relevant to all its members, and the IMF's legitimacy and effectiveness risk being undermined if current disparities on quota shares and Board seats continue. The U.S. is seeking a better balance - we are not seeking to increase our quota share; nor would we be prepared to see it decline.
We had good discussions on a range of developing country issues. We were all pleased with the progress on the G-8 debt agreement, particularly at the IMF - some work remains to move ahead with implementation at the World Bank and we encourage quick action. We also welcomed Minister Tremonti's report on Advance Market Commitments (AMCs) for vaccines as an interesting idea that may contribute to the development, manufacture, and distribution of vaccines for neglected diseases.
Ministers and governors also discussed efforts underway to prevent the further spread of Avian influenza. The spread of this virus has potentially severe human and economic impacts, and we agreed that all nations must take all necessary steps to prevent a pandemic from occurring.
Continued terrorist attacks remind us of the urgency and importance of implementing our commitments to fight terrorist financing and illicit finance. We have reaffirmed our commitment to halt the flow of financing with specific measures outlined in the Annex to our Statement. I further urge our G7 partners and other allies to work with us to take decisive multilateral action against individuals and entities engaged in illicit financing including WMD proliferation networks and supporters.
Finally, in addition to our normal meeting, I am pleased the G-7 had the opportunity to meet together with Ministers Fayyad and Olmert and the Quartet's Special Envoy, James Wolfensohn. Our support of economic development of the West Bank and Gaza will be a crucial element of lasting peace in the region.
Thank you.
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