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Climate of 2002 - October Wyoming
Drought National Climatic Data Center, 14 November 2002
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Statewide Overview /
Yellowstone River Paleo Perspective
Statewide Overview
October 2002 rainfall was below normal, statewide, for Wyoming, ranking as the 30th driest October in the 108-year record. This continued a trend of dry months which has lasted for much of the year, with November 2001-October 2002 ranking as the second driest such 12-month period on record.
As noted by the Wyoming State Climatologist (Jan Curtis):
Wyoming's statewide drought that appeared to begin in earnest in March 2000
had, by the end of October 2002, developed to extreme levels with even an
area of exceptional intensity over the central southwest region of the state
(as seen in the October 29 U.S. Drought Monitor weekly map).
Analysis of seven-day
average streamflows also shows nearly 20 percent of streams
at record low flows with an additional 27 percent at the 10 percentile
level. This is remarkable considering that all these streams have been
measuring flow for well over 30 years.
At the state's only USDA/NRCS SCAN (Soil Climate Analysis Network)
station in Torrington, conditions reveal that the soil
moisture is extremely dry at depth (below 8 inches) for 2002. The periodic
moisture spikes near the surface have not been of a long enough duration and
intensity to recharge the soil to greater depths. (The graph depicts the percent of water in the ground, by volume.)
The full fledged
hydrological drought within Wyoming will approach a social-economical
drought emergency if this winter's snowpack fails to develop.
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Yellowstone River Paleo Perspective
The graph to the right shows the annual streamflow reconstruction for the Yellowstone River, 1706-1977, in red. The blue curve is measured annual streamflow from 1911-1999. Precipitation-sensitive Douglas-fir tree-ring records were used to reconstruct the annual flow of the Yellowstone River at Corwin Springs, Montana, from 1706-1977. As noted by Graumlich and colleagues (see reference below), the record shows that flow values for the 1930s drought were the lowest in the three centuries, but, except during this period of drought, streamflow in the 20th century has been higher than during the 18th and 19th centuries.
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larger image (50 K)
larger image (130 K)
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The annual (November-October) precipitation for the Yellowstone River basin of northwest Wyoming is shown in the graph to the right. This graph shows that the recent dryness is comparable to the drought of the 1930s.
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larger image (40 K)
larger image (100 K)
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Reference:
Graumlich, L.G., M.F.J. Pisaric, L.A. Waggoner, J.S. Littell, and J.C. King, in press. "Upper Yellowstone River flow and teleconnections with Pacific Basin climate variability during the past three centuries." Climatic Change.
The NOAA Paleoclimatology Branch provides the data and description.
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http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2002/oct/st048dv00pcp200210.html
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Last Updated Tuesday, 19-Jul-2005 08:31:52 EDT by Richard.Heim@noaa.gov
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