Graphic showing NOAA logo NCDC / Clim. Monitoring / Climate-2002 / Oct / U.S. Regional Drought / Search / Help


U.S. Department of Commerce logo and link to site Climate of 2002 - October
Wyoming Drought

National Climatic Data Center, 14 November 2002

NOAA logo and link to site

Statewide Overview / Yellowstone River Paleo Perspective

to Top of Page Statewide Overview

October 2002 rainfall was below normal, statewide, for Wyoming, ranking as the 30th driest October in the 108-year record. This continued a trend of dry months which has lasted for much of the year, with November 2001-October 2002 ranking as the second driest such 12-month period on record.

As noted by the Wyoming State Climatologist (Jan Curtis):

Wyoming's statewide drought that appeared to begin in earnest in March 2000 had, by the end of October 2002, developed to extreme levels with even an area of exceptional intensity over the central southwest region of the state (as seen in the October 29 U.S. Drought Monitor weekly map).

Analysis of seven-day average streamflows also shows nearly 20 percent of streams at record low flows with an additional 27 percent at the 10 percentile level. This is remarkable considering that all these streams have been measuring flow for well over 30 years.

At the state's only USDA/NRCS SCAN (Soil Climate Analysis Network) station in Torrington, conditions reveal that the soil moisture is extremely dry at depth (below 8 inches) for 2002. The periodic moisture spikes near the surface have not been of a long enough duration and intensity to recharge the soil to greater depths. (The graph depicts the percent of water in the ground, by volume.)

The full fledged hydrological drought within Wyoming will approach a social-economical drought emergency if this winter's snowpack fails to develop.

Statewide Precipitation Ranks
for Wyoming , 2001-2002
Period Rank
Oct 30th driest
Sep-Oct 28th driest
Aug-Oct 29th driest
Jul-Oct 29th driest
Jun-Oct 9th driest
May-Oct 3rd driest
Apr-Oct 4th driest
Mar-Oct 4th driest
Feb-Oct 3rd driest
Jan-Oct 3rd driest
Dec-Oct 3rd driest
Nov-Oct 2nd driest
Wyoming statewide precipitation departures, January 1998 - present
larger image

Wyoming statewide Palmer Z Index, January 1998 - present
larger image

Wyoming statewide precipitation, October   1895-2002
larger image
Wyoming statewide Palmer Hydrological Drought Index, January 1900 - October   2002
larger image


to Top of Page Yellowstone River Paleo Perspective

The graph to the right shows the annual streamflow reconstruction for the Yellowstone River, 1706-1977, in red. The blue curve is measured annual streamflow from 1911-1999. Precipitation-sensitive Douglas-fir tree-ring records were used to reconstruct the annual flow of the Yellowstone River at Corwin Springs, Montana, from 1706-1977. As noted by Graumlich and colleagues (see reference below), the record shows that flow values for the 1930s drought were the lowest in the three centuries, but, except during this period of drought, streamflow in the 20th century has been higher than during the 18th and 19th centuries. graph showing reconstructed Yellowstone River annual streamflow Chronology, 1706-1977
larger image (50 K)

larger image (130 K)

The annual (November-October) precipitation for the Yellowstone River basin of northwest Wyoming is shown in the graph to the right. This graph shows that the recent dryness is comparable to the drought of the 1930s. graph showing Yellowstone River Basin annual (November-October) Precipitation, 1895-2002
larger image (40 K)

larger image (100 K)

Reference:

Graumlich, L.G., M.F.J. Pisaric, L.A. Waggoner, J.S. Littell, and J.C. King, in press. "Upper Yellowstone River flow and teleconnections with Pacific Basin climate variability during the past three centuries." Climatic Change.

The NOAA Paleoclimatology Branch provides the data and description.


Graphic showing NOAA logo NCDC / Clim. Monitoring / Climate-2002 / Oct / U.S. Regional Drought / Search / Help

http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/2002/oct/st048dv00pcp200210.html
Downloaded Wednesday, 24-Sep-2008 15:28:47 EDT
Last Updated Tuesday, 19-Jul-2005 08:31:52 EDT by Richard.Heim@noaa.gov
Please see the NCDC Contact Page if you have questions or comments.