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U.S. Department of Commerce logo and link to site Climate of 2002 - October
U.S. National Drought Overview

National Climatic Data Center, 14 November 2002

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On the national scale,
  • about 37 percent of the contiguous U.S. fell in the moderate to extreme drought categories (based on the Palmer Drought Index) at the end of October;
  • severe to extreme drought affected about 28 percent of the contiguous United States as of the end of October 2002;
    • this is the third consecutive month of decreasing areal coverage of drought
  • the coverage of the current (November 1999-present) national-scale drought first peaked in August 2000 at about 36% of the contiguous U.S., which was as extensive as the major droughts of the last 40 years, but not as large as the "dust bowl" droughts of the 1930s and 1950s;
  • the total drought area decreased to about 10 percent by November 2000, but has shown a general increasing trend for much of the period since then, reaching in July 2002 the peak it had first reached in August 2000 (see graph below left);
  • on a broad scale, the last two decades were characterized by unusual wetness with short periods of extensive droughts, whereas the 1930s and 1950s were characterized by prolonged periods of extensive droughts with little wetness (see graph below right);
  • although various parts of the U.S. have experienced unusually wet conditions during the last 36 months, little change occurred in the aggregate national wetness picture during much of this period;
  • the percentage of the nation severely wet has remained below about eleven percent during this period, reaching about 7 percent by the end of October 2002 (see graph below left);
  • a file containing the national monthly percent area severely dry and wet from 1900 to present is available;
  • historical temperature, precipitation, and Palmer drought data from 1895 to present for climate divisions, states, and regions in the contiguous U.S. are available at the Climate Division: Temperature-Precipitation-Drought Data page in files having names that start with "drd964x" and ending with "txt" (without the quotes).
U.S. Drought and Wet Spell Area, 1996-present
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U.S. Drought and Wet Spell Area, 1900-present
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Although some areas of the country were very dry this month, much of the central and eastern U.S. was wet. Integrated across the nation, October 2002 precipitation averaged well above normal. Twelve of the last 38 months have averaged well below the normal, while only four averaged well above normal (see graph top right). National 2001-2002 precipitation ranks:

Precipitation Ranks for the
Contiguous U.S., 2001-2002
Period Rank
Oct 7th wettest
(102nd driest)
Sep-Oct 11th wettest
( 98th driest)
Aug-Oct 11th wettest
( 98th driest)
Jul-Oct 19th wettest
( 90th driest)
Jun-Oct 40th wettest
( 69th driest)
May-Oct 50th wettest
( 59th driest)
Apr-Oct 53rd driest
Mar-Oct 54th driest
Feb-Oct 40th driest
Jan-Oct 28th driest
Dec-Oct 36th driest
Nov-Oct 41st driest
U.S. Precipitation Departure and Normals, January 1998-present
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U.S. Precipitation, Year-to-Date (Jan-Oct), 1895-2002
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to Top of Page For all climate questions other than questions concerning this report, please contact the National Climatic Data Center's Climate Services Division:

Climate Services Division
NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4876
phone: 828-271-4800
email: ncdc.info@noaa.gov
For further information on the historical climate perspective presented in this report, contact:

Richard Heim
NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4328
email: Richard.Heim@noaa.gov
-or-
Jay Lawrimore
NOAA/National Climatic Data Center
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
fax: 828-271-4328
email: Jay.Lawrimore@noaa.gov
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