000
FXUS62 KTAE 221313
AFDTAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
920 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG SFC RIDGE REMAINS ENTRENCHED TO OUR NORTH...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SLIDE EASTWARD THROUGH
THE CWA THIS MORNING. PLENTY OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR HAS ALREADY WORKED
INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...BUT A STRATUS DECK BETWEEN 1000
AND 2000 FEET FROM THE STRONG EASTERLY FLOW IS OBSCURING THE DRY
AIR FOR NOW. ONCE THIS BURNS OFF...HOWEVER...EXPECT A MOSTLY SUNNY
AND PLEASANT DAY FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND MUCH OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SO SHOULD BE ABLE TO REDUCE POPS IN THIS AREA. FURTHER
TO THE EAST...SCT SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE
OF THE TROF...BUT MOST OF THESE ARE RELEGATED TO THE GULF OF MEXICO
AS OF MID MORNING...BUT EXPECT SOME DEVELOPMENT OVER THE INTERIOR OF
THE FL BIG BEND AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF SW GA AS THE DAY WEARS ON.
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...THE SCEC CONDITIONS FROM THE NOCTURNAL
SURGE HAVE DROPPED OFF FAIRLY QUICKLY...SO WILL DROP THE HEADLINE ON
THE MORNING UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...STILL DEALING WITH SOME LOWER STRATUS FROM KPFN TO KTLH
AND KVLD THIS MORNING GENERALLY IN THE LOWER MVFR RANGE. THIS
STRATUS WILL BE SLOWLY LIFTING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...BUT
THIS PROCESS WILL BE SLOW WITH PLENTY OF MID-LEVEL CLOUDS RIDING
OVERHEAD. AWAY FROM THE MID-LEVEL CLOUDS CONDITIONS ARE VFR AT BOTH
KDHN AND KABY AND SHOULD CONTINUE IN TO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CHANCES
FOR MAINLY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE BEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS FROM KTLH TO KVLD.

&&


.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$

GOULD/MROCZKA