Tropical Depression TWENTY-FOUR

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL242005
0300Z MON OCT 17 2005
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  79.7W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  79.7W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  79.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.7N  80.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.8N  80.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.0N  81.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.3N  83.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 19.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...115NE 100SE 100SW 115NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 22.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  79.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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