Tropical Depression TWENTY-FOUR

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL242005
2100Z SAT OCT 15 2005

...CORRECTED FOR BIN NUMBER...BIN 4 INSTEAD OF 3 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH MAYBE REQUIRED FOR
FOR GRAND CAYMAN LATER TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  78.8W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
EYE DIAMETER  60 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  78.8W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  78.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 17.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 18.0N  82.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 19.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  78.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
$$
NNNN