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Hurricane FELIX
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FELIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUANAJA 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 40 X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 143N 857W 34 68 7(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
12 143N 857W 50 30 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
12 143N 857W 64 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
24 145N 880W 34 3 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
24 145N 880W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 145N 880W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 150N 900W 34 1 X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 150N 900W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 150N 900W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 60 30 20 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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