|
|
Hurricane FELIX
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FELIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0300 UTC MON SEP 03 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
145 KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
LA PESCO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12)
LA PESCO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14)
TAMPICO MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15)
TUXPAN MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 4(17)
VERACRUZ MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 18(32) 4(36)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) X(17)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 13(33) 4(37)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 8(15) 1(16)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) 6(33) 1(34)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 3(13) 1(14)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 34(49) 9(58) 1(59)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 5(32) 1(33)
BELIZE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 4(19) X(19)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 23(31) 6(37) 1(38)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) 11(11) 35(46) 20(66) 3(69) X(69)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 17(42) 2(44) X(44)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 13(26) 1(27) X(27)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X 2( 2) 24(26) 12(38) 3(41) 1(42) X(42)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9)
SAN ANDRES 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 2(12) X(12) 1(13)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13) 1(14)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) 1(14) 1(15) X(15)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MONTEGO BAY 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KINGSTON 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 145N 766W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 145N 766W 50 66 16(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
12 145N 766W 64 40 17(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
24 150N 798W 34 1 81(82) 8(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
24 150N 798W 50 X 53(53) 14(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
24 150N 798W 64 X 26(26) 15(41) X(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
36 156N 828W 34 X 7( 7) 61(68) 11(79) 2(81) 1(82) X(82)
36 156N 828W 50 X 1( 1) 41(42) 14(56) 2(58) 1(59) X(59)
36 156N 828W 64 X 1( 1) 23(24) 11(35) 2(37) 1(38) X(38)
48 162N 852W 34 X X( X) 22(22) 35(57) 13(70) 2(72) X(72)
48 162N 852W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 27(33) 13(46) 1(47) X(47)
48 162N 852W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 9(27) 1(28) X(28)
72 175N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 32(42) 12(54) 1(55)
72 175N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 8(29) X(29)
72 175N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 5(16) X(16)
96 195N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 22(32) 5(37)
96 195N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 3(20)
96 195N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12)
120 215N 965W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22)
120 215N 965W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10)
120 215N 965W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 150 145 145 145 135 80 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
|
|
|
|
|
weather.gov
