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Tropical Depression SIX
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MARCO ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 4(15)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) 1(13) X(13)
PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
CURACAO 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13)
ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 14(20) 4(24)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 7(23) 1(24)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 4(25) 1(26)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 1(16) X(16)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) 1(12) X(12)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 5(17) X(17) 1(18)
CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PONCE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AVES 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT LUCIA 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT VINCENT 34 10 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
GRENADA 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 125N 622W 34 13 6(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
12 125N 622W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
12 125N 622W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 132N 655W 34 X 20(20) 10(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
24 132N 655W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 132N 655W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 140N 690W 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) 9(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40)
36 140N 690W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 140N 690W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 146N 726W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 10(37) 1(38) X(38)
48 146N 726W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
48 146N 726W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 155N 790W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 11(32) 1(33)
72 155N 790W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) 1(12)
72 155N 790W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
96 165N 840W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 7(26)
96 165N 840W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11)
96 165N 840W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
120 175N 885W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14)
120 175N 885W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 175N 885W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35 40 50 55 60 70 80
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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