Hurricane FELIX

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HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062007
2100 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  72.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  40SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  72.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  71.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.1N  74.5W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.8N  78.0W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.4N  81.1W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N  83.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 17.3N  87.7W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 19.5N  91.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 21.5N  95.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  72.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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