Hurricane EMILY

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HURRICANE EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON JUL 18 2005
 
...EMILY LOST IT PUNCH OVER YUCATAN...EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS
FOR YUCATAN.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED  WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  91.0 WEST OR ABOUT  445 MILES...
715 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT  480 MILES...
770 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE NEARING THE
COAST OF NORTHEAST MEXICO LATE TUESDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  EMILY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC STATION JUST NORTH
OF EMILY RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 71 MPH...115 KM/HR.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE
WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE 
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE 
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 2 INCHES OR LESS
ACROSS YUCATAN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...22.3 N... 91.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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