Hurricane EMILY

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUL 18 2005

...EMILY HEADING FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...EXPECTED TO REGAIN
STRENGTH....
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO ROJO MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD AND SOUTHWARD TO CAMPECHE. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.6 WEST OR ABOUT  540
MILES... 870 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT  575
MILES... 925 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. EMILY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL.  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ON THE CARIBBEAN SIDE OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TODAY.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP
TO 5 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...21.8 N... 89.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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