Hurricane EMILY

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HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
2100Z TUE JUL 19 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST FROM PORT
MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM
SOUTH OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  95.6W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  55SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE 100SE 120SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  95.6W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  95.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.6N  97.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 85NE  55SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.7N  99.3W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.7N 101.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED INLAND
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  95.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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