Hurricane EMILY

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HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
0300Z TUE JUL 19 2005
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH
OF THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.  A HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER.  A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  92.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
EYE DIAMETER  40 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  92.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  91.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 23.6N  93.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.2N  96.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.5N 101.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  92.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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