Hurricane EMILY

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HURRICANE EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
2100Z MON JUL 18 2005
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM BAFFIN BAY TEXAS SOUTHWARD TO THE TEXAS/MEXICO
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF
TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER TO LA CRUZ AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO...AND DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS
FOR YUCATAN.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED  WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  91.0W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  91.0W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  90.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 23.0N  93.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 24.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 24.5N  98.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.5N 100.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  91.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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