Tropical Storm EMILY

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TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052005
0300Z WED JUL 13 2005
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR TOBAGO TO A
HURRICANE WARNING...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR TRINIDAD.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...
TOBAGO...GRENADA...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...AND ST. LUCIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
TRINIDAD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  54.7W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  54.7W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  53.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 11.1N  57.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 11.8N  60.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 12.7N  63.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 13.7N  66.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.5N  79.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 19.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  54.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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