Hurricane STAN

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE STAN ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
 
...STAN BECOMES A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC.  A HURRICANE
WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...
195 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
 
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH... 19 KM/HR.  A
CONTINUED SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK... STAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  982 MB...29.00 INCHES.

STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...18.8 N... 94.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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