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Tropical Depression TWENTY
ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT OCT 01 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.4N 89.8W 41 X X X 41 MMMD 210N 897W 36 1 X X 37
21.0N 91.8W 16 13 1 X 30 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
21.4N 93.6W 1 19 3 1 24 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W 62 X X X 62 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 4 4
MZBZ 175N 883W 3 X 1 X 4 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 8 9
MMSO 238N 982W X X 4 9 13 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
MMTM 222N 979W X X 8 7 15 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
MMTX 210N 974W X 1 8 6 15 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
MMVR 192N 961W X 1 5 6 12 GULF 27N 96W X X X 6 6
MMFR 185N 926W 3 6 2 2 13 GULF 25N 96W X X 4 8 12
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
C FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
D FROM 1PM MON TO 1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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