Tropical Storm STAN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL202005
0300Z MON OCT 03 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  90.3W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  90.3W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  89.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  91.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.0N  93.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.7N  94.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.4N  95.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.0N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...125NE  50SE  25SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 19.5N  98.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  90.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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