Tropical Storm STAN

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TROPICAL STORM STAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL202005
2100Z SUN OCT 02 2005
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  89.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......105NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  89.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  88.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.1N  90.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...105NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.3N  93.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N  94.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N  96.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.5N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...105NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N  89.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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