Hurricane RITA

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HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
0900Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS IS DISCONTINUED EAST OF THE MARQUESAS KEYS...INCLUDING
KEY WEST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE MARQUESAS KEYS WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF RITA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  84.6W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  60SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  84.6W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N  84.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.4N  86.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  85SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.7N  88.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.2N  90.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.9N  92.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 28.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 31.5N  97.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 35.5N  96.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  84.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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