Tropical Storm RITA

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TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
0900Z TUE SEP 20 2005
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ANDROS ISLAND TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS...AND FROM GOLDEN BEACH ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST
SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE
SOUTHWEST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE HABANA...AND LA HABANA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AS
WELL AS FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIENFUEGOS...AND PINAR DEL
RIO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  79.5W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT.......105NE  60SE  60SW 105NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE  90SE  90SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  79.5W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  78.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 24.1N  81.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  60SE  60SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 24.4N  84.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.6N  87.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 24.7N  89.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 28.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 32.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N  79.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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