Tropical Storm RITA

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TROPICAL STORM RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182005
1500Z MON SEP 19 2005
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE EXTREME
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA
CITY AND WESTWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EXUMAS AND FOR ANDROS
ISLAND IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND FOR ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF THE
BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA
CLARA AND MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
PROVINCES OF CIUDAD DE HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO
DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIENFUEGOS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE
NOW IN EFFECT FROM DEERFIELD BEACH FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF
GOLDEN BEACH.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH NORTHWARD TO JUPITER
INLET.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM WEST OF EAST CAPE SABLE
NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF CHOKOLOSKEE TO ENGLEWOOD.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  75.2W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......125NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  75.2W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  74.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.4N  76.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 24.4N  81.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.7N  84.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  90SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 25.5N  88.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N  92.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 29.0N  95.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  75.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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